{"id":1644,"date":"2017-05-23T08:30:08","date_gmt":"2017-05-23T15:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1644"},"modified":"2017-05-22T22:42:29","modified_gmt":"2017-05-23T05:42:29","slug":"how-do-we-increase-salmon-runs-in-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1644","title":{"rendered":"How do we increase salmon runs in 2017?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past few months, I have written posts on the status of specific runs of salmon in rivers throughout the Central Valley.\u00a0 In this post, I describe the overall status of salmon runs and \u00a0recommend general actions to take to increase runs as well as commercial and sport fishery harvests. \u00a0The subject is timely given a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nwfsc.noaa.gov\/research\/divisions\/fe\/estuarine\/oeip\/g-forecast.cfm\">poor prognosis<\/a> for the 2017 salmon runs.<\/p>\n<p>It was just a little more than a decade ago at the beginning of the century that there were nearly one million adult salmon ascending the rivers of the Central Valley (Figure 1).\u00a0 At the same time, there were a million more Central Valley salmon being harvested each year in sport and commercial fisheries along the coast and in the rivers of the Central Valley.\u00a0 Improvements in salmon management in the decade of the 1990s by the Central Valley Project Improvement Act, CALFED, and other programs had paid off handsomely with strong runs from 1999 to 2005.\u00a0 New and upgraded hatcheries, combined with the implementation of \u00a0trucking hatchery smolts to the Bay, significantly increased both harvest and escapement to spawning rivers.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1645\" style=\"width: 594px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1645\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1645\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1-1024x553.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"584\" height=\"315\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1-1024x553.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1-300x162.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1-768x414.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1-500x270.png 500w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/Images-1.png 1866w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 584px) 100vw, 584px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1645\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. Central Valley salmon runs from 1975 to 2016 including fall, late fall, winter, and spring runs. Source of data: CDFW GrandTab.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>By 2008-2009 escapement had fallen by over 90% to a mere 70,000 spawners of the four major Central Valley runs of salmon.\u00a0 DFW and the Pacific Fishery Management Council greatly restricted fishery harvest of salmon beginning in 2008.\u00a0 The winter run, the most threatened of the four runs, fell from 17,296 to 827 spawners in just five years.\u00a0 Drier years from 2001-2005, poor ocean conditions in 2004-2005, record-high Delta water diversions, and the 2007-2009 drought were contributing factors in these declines.\u00a0 Impacts to coastal communities and the fishing industries were severe.<\/p>\n<p>Extraordinary recovery measures included closing fisheries and trucking most of the hatchery smolt production to the Bay or Delta.\u00a0 Federal salmon biological opinions (2009, 2011) limited winter and spring water-project exports from the Delta.\u00a0 The state and federal governments and others spent hundreds of millions of new dollars on habitat and fish passage improvements in the Valley to improve salmon survival and turn around the declines.\u00a0 Figure 1 demonstrates that these efforts were somewhat effective in limiting run declines during the 2012-2015 drought, compared to the 1987-1992 and 2007-2009 droughts.<\/p>\n<p>However, the prognosis for 2017 is again bleak.\u00a0 The consequences of the 2012-2015 drought are about to fully play out.\u00a0 Once again, projected runs are low and responsible fishery agencies are restricting harvest. \u00a0Managers once again must take action to minimize the long term effects and help bring about recovery.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Immediate actions in wet year 2017:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong><u>Reduce harvest<\/u><\/strong>: Sadly but necessarily, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pcouncil.org\/2017\/04\/47565\/west-coast-salmon-season-dates-set-for-2017\/\">Pacific Fishery Management Council<\/a> and west coast states took this first step: they severally restricted the 2017 harvest in the ocean and rivers.<\/li>\n<li><strong><u>Improve spawning, rearing, and migrating conditions<\/u><\/strong>: Sadly, responsible agencies unnecessarily compromised on Sacramento River water temperatures in the first ten days of May, 2017 (Figure 2). \u00a0The Bureau of Reclamation released flows as low as 5000 cfs from an effectively full Shasta Reservoir, and water temperature at Red Bluff exceeded the 56<sup>o<\/sup>F temperature standards in the biological opinion for salmon and in the Basin Plan.\u00a0 The resulting high water temperatures affect salmon egg incubation, rearing, and emigration-immigration success.\u00a0 In one of the wettest years on record, there is no excuse for failure to meet flow and temperature targets in all Central Valley rivers and the Delta.<\/li>\n<li><strong><u>Limit Delta exports<\/u><\/strong>: Delta exports this spring reached unprecedented highs not seen in recent decades, resulting in high salmon salvage rates at the Delta fish facilities (Figure 3).<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-1644-1' id='fnref-1644-1' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(1644)'>1<\/a><\/sup> \u00a0With high water supplies in this wet year, there is no need for high exports, especially if it reduces survival of salmon and other native fishes.\u00a0 If anything, exports should be minimal.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p><strong>Near-term actions over the coming year:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong><u>Transport hatchery smolts to Bay<\/u><\/strong>: the transport of millions of fall-run smolts from state hatcheries on the Feather, American, and Mokelumne rivers to the Bay provides higher rates of fishery and escapement contributions and low rates of straying.\u00a0 Barge transport to the Bay offers potentially lower rates of predation and straying for Federal hatcheries near Redding.<\/li>\n<li><strong><u>Raise hatchery fry in natural habitats<\/u><\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nwfsc.noaa.gov\/news\/features\/wild_fish_template\/index.cfm\">recent research<\/a> indicates that rearing hatchery fry in more natural habitat conditions increases growth rates, survival, and contributions to fisheries and escapement. \u00a0Raising hatchery fry in <a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1547\">rice fields<\/a> is one potential approach.<\/li>\n<li><strong><u>Restore habitats damaged by recent record high flows in salmon spawning and rearing reaches of the Central Valley rivers and floodplains<\/u><\/strong>: in nearly every river, flooding in 2017 has damaged habitats.\u00a0 These habitats now \u00a0require extra-ordinary repairs and maintenance to ready them again to produce salmon.<\/li>\n<li><strong><u>With an abundant water supply this year, take further actions to enhance flows and water temperatures to enhance salmon survival throughout the Central Valley<\/u>: <\/strong>actions may include higher base flows, flow pulses, or simply meeting existing target flow and temperature goals.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>In conclusion, managers should take immediate actions to minimize the damage to salmon runs from the recent drought using this year\u2019s abundant water supply.\u00a0 They should avoid efforts to exploit the abundant water for small benefits to water supply at the expense of salmon recovery and should make every effort to use the abundant water for salmon recovery.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1646\" style=\"width: 594px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1646\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1646\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2-1024x628.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"584\" height=\"358\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2-1024x628.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2-300x184.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2-768x471.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2-489x300.png 489w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/images-2.png 1558w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 584px) 100vw, 584px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1646\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. Upper Sacramento River flows and water temperatures in May 2017. The target water temperature for Red Bluff is 56oF. Source of data: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usbr.gov\/mp\/cvo\/vungvari\/sactemprpt.pdf\">USBR<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_1648\" style=\"width: 594px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1648\" class=\"size-large wp-image-1648\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3-1024x896.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"584\" height=\"511\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3-1024x896.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3-300x263.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3-768x672.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3-343x300.png 343w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/image-3.png 1291w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 584px) 100vw, 584px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1648\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 3. Export rate and young salmon salvage at South Delta federal and state export facilities in May 2017. The target export rate limit for May is 1500 cfs. Source of data: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usbr.gov\/mp\/cvo\/vungvari\/salmondly.pdf\">USBR<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class='footnotes' id='footnotes-1644'>\n<div class='footnotedivider'><\/div>\n<ol>\n<li id='fn-1644-1'> <a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1627\">http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1627<\/a> <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-1644-1'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past few months, I have written posts on the status of specific runs of salmon in rivers throughout the Central Valley.\u00a0 In this post, I describe the overall status of salmon runs and \u00a0recommend general actions to take &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=1644\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1644","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bay-delta","category-chinook"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1644","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1644"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1644\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1651,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1644\/revisions\/1651"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1644"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1644"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1644"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}