{"id":3120,"date":"2020-03-29T18:50:59","date_gmt":"2020-03-30T01:50:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3120"},"modified":"2020-03-30T08:56:51","modified_gmt":"2020-03-30T15:56:51","slug":"no-miracle-march-for-delta-fish","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3120","title":{"rendered":"No Miracle March for Delta Fish"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A nice spurt of Delta inflow and outflow occurred during mid-March 2020 (Figure 1). In past dry winters, this would have been a life saver for many juvenile salmon and smelt in the Delta. But this March brought no miracles for Delta fish. Without new rules for the State Water Project (SWP), the Project\u2019s Banks pumping plant in the south Delta maxed out exports (Figure 2), just like the SWP did after last December\u2019s storms.<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-3120-1' id='fnref-3120-1' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(3120)'>1<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0 March exports have been just below the maximum export-to-inflow (E\/I) ratio allowed by the State Water Board (35%). From 2009 through 2019, the state\u2019s incidental take permit (ITP)<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-3120-2' id='fnref-3120-2' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(3120)'>2<\/a><\/sup> limited exports by restricting negative flows in Old River and Middle River (OMR restrictions) to protect the state-listed longfin smelt and Delta smelt. Not so in the winter of 2020.<\/p>\n<p>Longfin smelt need more protection. See Figures 3-7. In the past, March 2020 conditions would have been termed high risk by the Smelt Working Group. But the Smelt Working Group disappeared while the new federal Biological Opinions for Delta operations were making their entrance in late 2019. Although managers often ignored the recommendations of the Smelt Working Group, there was at least some outside technical documentation and accountability.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the state\u2019s soon-to-be-released new ITP looks like it will divert the discussions that the Smelt Working Group used to have to an in-house colloquy between the Department of Water Resources and the Department of Fish and Wildlife. The ITP also has provisions to allow more negative OMR\u2019s and thus higher levels of exports during storm events. This will make fish in the Delta more dependent on miracles even as miracles become harder to come by.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3121\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3121\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3121\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image1-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"350\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image1-1.png 640w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image1-1-300x164.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image1-1-500x273.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3121\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. March 2020 calculated Delta outflow. Source: CDWR.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3122\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3122\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3122\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image2-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image2-1.png 640w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image2-1-300x225.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image2-1-400x300.png 400w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3122\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. March 2020 Delta exports. TRP = Federal Tracy Plant. HRO = state Harvey Banks Plant.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3123\" style=\"width: 1502px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3123\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3123\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1492\" height=\"1137\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1.png 1492w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1-300x229.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1-1024x780.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1-768x585.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image3-1-394x300.png 394w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1492px) 100vw, 1492px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3123\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 3. Early March 2020 Larval Survey for Longfin Smelt. Yellow denotes X2 location. Blue arrow denotes positive downstream Sacramento River channel flow. Red arrows denote interior Delta net flow direction. Pattern indicates risk to Longfin Smelt.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3124\" style=\"width: 1339px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3124\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3124\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1329\" height=\"1025\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2.png 1329w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2-300x231.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2-1024x790.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2-768x592.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image5-2-389x300.png 389w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1329px) 100vw, 1329px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3124\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 4. Mid March 2020 CDFW Larval Survey \u2013 partial survey results for longfin smelt.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3125\" style=\"width: 652px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3125\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3125\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image4-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"642\" height=\"491\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image4-1.png 642w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image4-1-300x229.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image4-1-392x300.png 392w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 642px) 100vw, 642px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3125\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 5. Mid March 2020 CDFW 20-MM Survey &#8211; partial survey results for longfin smelt.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3126\" style=\"width: 893px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3126\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3126\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image6-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"883\" height=\"896\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image6-2.png 883w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image6-2-296x300.png 296w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image6-2-768x779.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 883px) 100vw, 883px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3126\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 6. March 2020 Old and Middle River combined daily average flows in Central Delta. Source: USBR.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3127\" style=\"width: 1345px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3127\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3127\" src=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image7-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1335\" height=\"1529\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image7-1.png 1335w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image7-1-262x300.png 262w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image7-1-894x1024.png 894w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image7-1-768x880.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1335px) 100vw, 1335px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3127\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 7. March 2020 tidally-filtered flows at three Delta locations that represent net Delta outflow. Note mid-March outflow (sum of three) was negative for several days. Source: USGS.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class='footnotes' id='footnotes-3120'>\n<div class='footnotedivider'><\/div>\n<ol>\n<li id='fn-3120-1'> <a href=\"http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3073\">http:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3073<\/a>  <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-3120-1'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<li id='fn-3120-2'> <a href=\"https:\/\/wildlife.ca.gov\/Conservation\/Delta\/Longfin-smelt-incidental-take\">https:\/\/wildlife.ca.gov\/Conservation\/Delta\/Longfin-smelt-incidental-take<\/a>  <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-3120-2'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A nice spurt of Delta inflow and outflow occurred during mid-March 2020 (Figure 1). In past dry winters, this would have been a life saver for many juvenile salmon and smelt in the Delta. But this March brought no miracles &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3120\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,6,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3120","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bay-delta","category-smelt","category-water-quality"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3120","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3120"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3120\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3129,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3120\/revisions\/3129"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3120"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3120"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3120"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}