{"id":3533,"date":"2021-03-05T07:07:53","date_gmt":"2021-03-05T15:07:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3533"},"modified":"2021-03-05T07:07:53","modified_gmt":"2021-03-05T15:07:53","slug":"lessons-learned-from-the-2013-2015-drought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3533","title":{"rendered":"Lessons Learned from the 2013-2015 Drought"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3542\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"3450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1.png 2000w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1-174x300.png 174w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1-594x1024.png 594w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1-768x1325.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1-890x1536.png 890w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image-combo-1-1187x2048.png 1187w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><\/a>After the 2013-2015 drought, the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) took a deep dive into \u201clessons learned\u201d to help guide future regulatory permit processes, especially those that address the effects of future Shasta Reservoir operations on endangered winter-run Chinook salmon.\u00a0 The drought proved to be a comprehensive adaptive management experiment on the effects of the US Bureau of Reclamation\u2019s (Reclamation) operation of its Shasta-Trinity Division on Sacramento River and Bay-Delta fish populations.\u00a0 Though the specific lessons learned focused primarily on one listed species, winter-run salmon, the effects manifested in different ways on other listed or special-status native fish species in the Central Valley and Klamath-Trinity rivers, including other runs of salmon, steelhead, sturgeon, and smelt, and even orca in the ocean.<\/p>\n<p>In upcoming posts, I will discuss the ramifications of the \u201clessons\u201d and their relevance to fish populations and water supply issues.\u00a0 The focus will be on Sacramento Valley salmon and how Reclamation can adjust the operations of the Shasta-Trinity Division to help salmon and other fish populations recover.<\/p>\n<p>March 2021 is a critical stage of decision making in managing resource allocation during what could be another dry year like water year 2020.\u00a0 Reservoir storage levels are low (Figures 1-3), and Shasta\u2019s cold-water supply (Figure 4) is low after a dry year.\u00a0 Water year 2021 is dry so far.\u00a0 The lessons learned need to be applied to avoid the fisheries disasters of the last drought.\u00a0 Will the warnings and lessons be heeded?<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_3534\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3534\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3534\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image3.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image3-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image3-768x413.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image3-500x269.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3534\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. Shasta Reservoir water storage for water years 2018-2021. Note reservoir refilled in wet year 2019 but not in below normal 2020, and storage enters 2021 at a low level.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3535\" style=\"width: 1324px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3535\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3535\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1314\" height=\"697\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4.png 1314w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4-300x159.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4-1024x543.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4-768x407.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image4-500x265.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1314px) 100vw, 1314px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3535\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. Folsom Reservoir water storage for water years 2018-2021. Note storage entered water years 2020 and 2021 at lower levels, which does not bode well if water year 2021 is dry.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3536\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3536\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3536\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image6.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image6.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image6-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image6-768x413.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image6-500x269.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3536\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 3. Oroville Reservoir water storage for water years 2018-2021. Note reservoir storage was poor after wet water year 2017 because of 2017 spillway failure.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_3537\" style=\"width: 1294px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-3537\" class=\"size-full wp-image-3537\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1284\" height=\"946\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5.png 1284w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5-300x221.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5-1024x754.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5-768x566.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/image5-407x300.png 407w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1284px) 100vw, 1284px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-3537\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 4. Shasta Reservoir cold-water pool supply in calendar years 2014-16, 19, and 21. Note 2021 (black line) is beginning to trend toward drier year levels.<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After the 2013-2015 drought, the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) took a deep dive into \u201clessons learned\u201d to help guide future regulatory permit processes, especially those that address the effects of future Shasta Reservoir operations on endangered winter-run Chinook salmon.\u00a0 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=3533\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3533","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chinook","category-water-quality"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3533","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3533"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3533\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3544,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3533\/revisions\/3544"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3533"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3533"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3533"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}