{"id":4254,"date":"2022-11-13T17:24:07","date_gmt":"2022-11-14T01:24:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4254"},"modified":"2022-11-13T17:24:07","modified_gmt":"2022-11-14T01:24:07","slug":"how-did-winter-run-salmon-do-in-summer-2022-not-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4254","title":{"rendered":"How did Winter-Run Salmon do in Summer 2022? Not Good."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>First the bad news. The production in 2022 of winter-run salmon fry in the upper Sacramento River near Redding was at record low levels, similar to the disaster years 2014 and 2015, maybe worse (Figure 1).<\/p>\n<p>Next, more bad news (there is no good news). Most of the fry are now in the 100-mile reach below Red Bluff, with only a small proportion to date (November 7) reaching Knights Landing below Chico (Figure 2). Flows (Figure 3) remain too low for good fry survival, with little flow increase following late October and early November rains. Clear water conditions make it easy for the tens of thousands of striped bass and smallmouth bass residing in the 100-mile reach to pick off migrating juvenile salmon. Up till late October, water temperatures above 60\u00baF kept bass active (also Figure 3). With conditions expected to be similar to last year, one can only expect this year\u2019s production to be similar to last year\u2019s poor production (Figure 4).<\/p>\n<p>Some might say increased hatchery winter run production in 2022 is good news. Higher than normal numbers of hatchery fry are being raised in the Livingston-Stone Fish Hatchery for release next winter. But last winter\u2019s hatchery releases during critical drought conditions did not fare well, as shown by the very small numbers that reached the Delta (Figure 5). To compensate, Interior began increasing egg-taking<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-4254-1' id='fnref-4254-1' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(4254)'>1<\/a><\/sup> for the hatchery and transporting adults and hatchery smolts to upper reaches of Battle Creek. While these actions are worthwhile, the problem remains that drought year release returns (harvest plus escapement) average about 0.2%, compared to 2% returns in wet years.<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-4254-2' id='fnref-4254-2' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(4254)'>2<\/a><\/sup><\/p>\n<p>The prognosis for the winter-run salmon from all these sources of recruitment during the 2020-2022 drought to return as adults into fishery catches and the spawning runs is grim.<sup class='footnote'><a href='#fn-4254-3' id='fnref-4254-3' onclick='return fdfootnote_show(4254)'>3<\/a><\/sup> The population does recover after wetter year periods (2016-2019, Figure 6), but not without the support of the hatchery. More needs to be done to improve wild and hatchery fry survival and smolt production to safely recover the winter-run salmon population. Flow pulses and enforcement of the state water temperature standards are needed. Vitamin injections, more hatchery egg-taking, and taxi rides alone will not do the job.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4255\" style=\"width: 899px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4255\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4255\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image1.png\" alt=\"Graph showing Run Size from 2007 through 2022\" width=\"889\" height=\"343\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image1.png 889w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image1-300x116.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image1-768x296.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image1-500x193.png 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 889px) 100vw, 889px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4255\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. Annual catch of unmarked juvenile winter run salmon in screw traps near Red Bluff as of November 13, 2022. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/data\/juv_monitoring.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4256\" style=\"width: 777px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4256\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4256\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image2.png\" alt=\"Graphs showing Water Temperature and Daily Estimated Passage\" width=\"767\" height=\"851\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image2.png 767w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image2-270x300.png 270w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 767px) 100vw, 767px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4256\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. Juvenile winter-run salmon catch in Red Bluff and Colusa screw traps in 2022. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/data\/delta_juvenile.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4257\" style=\"width: 1003px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4257\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4257\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image3.png\" alt=\"Graph showing flow CFS and Temp \" width=\"993\" height=\"708\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image3.png 993w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image3-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image3-768x548.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image3-421x300.png 421w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 993px) 100vw, 993px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4257\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 3. Water temperature and flow rate below Keswick Dam (KWK, RM 300), at Bend near Red Bluff (BND, RM 250), and below Wilkins Slough (WLK, RM 120) in 2022. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/data\/query_river_graph.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4258\" style=\"width: 1184px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4258\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4258\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4.jpeg\" alt=\"Graph of Cumulative Catch per Brood Year\" width=\"1174\" height=\"368\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4.jpeg 1174w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4-300x94.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4-1024x321.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4-768x241.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image4-500x157.jpeg 500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1174px) 100vw, 1174px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4258\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 4. Annual catch of unmarked juvenile winter run salmon in screw Chipps Island trawls near Pittsburg, CA. Red arrow shows 2021 catch. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/data\/juv_monitoring.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4259\" style=\"width: 1210px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4259\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4259\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5.png\" alt=\"Graph of Observed Chinook Salvage at SWP and CVP Delta Fish Facilities\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5.png 1200w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image5-450x300.png 450w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4259\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 5. Salmon salvage at south Delta export facilities in 2021. Salvage of hatchery release groups is color coded. Red arrow shows winter-run hatchery smolt release group and the subsequent capture\/salvage of two smolts from the group in late March. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/tmp\/deltasalvagelength_1666295066_135.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4260\" style=\"width: 910px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4260\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4260\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image6.png\" alt=\"Graph California Central Valley Population Database Report CDFW GrandTab Adult Escapement\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image6.png 900w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image6-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image6-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/image6-450x300.png 450w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4260\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 6. Winter run salmon escapement 1970-2021. (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbr.washington.edu\/sacramento\/data\/query_adult_grandtab.html\">Source<\/a>)<\/p><\/div>\n<div class='footnotes' id='footnotes-4254'>\n<div class='footnotedivider'><\/div>\n<ol>\n<li id='fn-4254-1'> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fws.gov\/story\/2021-07\/hatcheries-drought-preparation-aids-salmon-survival\">https:\/\/www.fws.gov\/story\/2021-07\/hatcheries-drought-preparation-aids-salmon-survival<\/a>  <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-4254-1'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<li id='fn-4254-2'> Source:\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rmpc.org\">https:\/\/www.rmpc.org<\/a>\u00a0  <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-4254-2'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<li id='fn-4254-3'> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fws.gov\/press-release\/2022-05\/endangered-california-salmon-returned-safer-waters-after-more-century\">https:\/\/www.fws.gov\/press-release\/2022-05\/endangered-california-salmon-returned-safer-waters-after-more-century<\/a>  <span class='footnotereverse'><a href='#fnref-4254-3'>&#8617;<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First the bad news. The production in 2022 of winter-run salmon fry in the upper Sacramento River near Redding was at record low levels, similar to the disaster years 2014 and 2015, maybe worse (Figure 1). Next, more bad news &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4254\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15,13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bay-delta","category-chinook"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4254"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4263,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4254\/revisions\/4263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}