{"id":4315,"date":"2023-03-21T21:13:29","date_gmt":"2023-03-22T04:13:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4315"},"modified":"2023-03-21T21:13:29","modified_gmt":"2023-03-22T04:13:29","slug":"with-salmon-season-closed-for-2023-the-work-is-just-beginning","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4315","title":{"rendered":"With Salmon Season Closed for 2023, the Work is Just Beginning"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The final rules adopted by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fisheries.noaa.gov\/action\/fisheries-west-coast-states-west-coast-salmon-fisheries-2022-management-measures\">NOAA Fisheries<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/wildlife.ca.gov\/Fishing\/Ocean\/Regulations\/Salmon#recreational\">California Department of Fish and Wildlife<\/a> this spring will be much different than last year\u2019s rules.\u00a0 The 2023 commercial and sport fishing closure is designed to ensure that adequate numbers of fall run salmon, the primary stock of the fishery, return to spawn this year and \u00a0begin the recovery of the population to allow future fisheries.\u00a0 The Pacific Fisheries Management Council (PFMC) and the California Fish and Game Commission are taking this extreme action as their authorized contribution to the recovery of collapsed California\u2019s salmon populations.\u00a0 This year\u2019s salmon closure follows yet another three-year drought (2020-2022) and associated water mismanagement.<\/p>\n<p>But the work does not stop at closing the season.\u00a0 The legal authorities of other state and federal agencies must now kick in and do their part.\u00a0 With the salmon out in the ocean now protected, the next steps are to protect broodyear 2022 that is now in the rivers and the Bay-Delta estuary, and to be ready for the return of remaining broodyear 2019 and broodyear 2020 and 2021 adult salmon that will re-enter fresh water to spawn this fall and next year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Hatchery Production<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>There are 20 million or so fall-run salmon pre-smolts soon to be released this spring from the seven Central Valley salmon hatcheries.\u00a0 Hatchery personnel will release these salmon to the rivers, Delta, Bay, and coast.\u00a0 Where and when they do so will greatly affect how many salmon reach the ocean and return to the rivers to spawn (escapement).<\/p>\n<p>The following measures if adopted will increase success:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Truck as many smolts as possible to the coast and Golden Gate. Hold as many as these as possible for late spring, summer, and late fall (yearling) release.<\/li>\n<li>Limit in-Delta and East Bay releases, because to succeed they must occur in early spring when receiving waters are cool. Early spring releases are smaller fish that do not survive as well, especially if they are released near the hatcheries.<\/li>\n<li>Coordinate river (near-hatchery) releases in spring with river and Delta inflow\/outflow flow pulses and with optimal water temperature and turbidity conditions.<\/li>\n<li>Appropriately clip all adipose fins, and coded-wire tag all smolts.<\/li>\n<li>Track and analyze survival under varying release strategies.<\/li>\n<li>Adopt a Parental-Based-Tagging (PBT) program to support the overall recovery program.<\/li>\n<li>Fund and implement hatchery program facilities and operational improvements, as recommended and planned by agencies.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Natural Production<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Millions of eggs will be spawned in rivers this fall, despite what may be a near-record-low number of returning adults (escapement) in 2023.\u00a0 It is imperative that the young salmon hatched from these eggs survive and contribute a maximum of natural-born smolts to the ocean.\u00a0 We are so lucky that Mother Nature has provided the necessary water resources this year to allow that to happen.<\/p>\n<p>As it is, only 32,000 adult salmon spawned naturally in rivers last fall, compared to 300,000 just a decade ago.\u00a0 The earlier 2010-2016 recovery was a great accomplishment soon after the 2007-2009 population crash, when natural born escapement was only 25,000-70,000 (see Table 1).\u00a0 That recovery was brought about after two years of fisheries closures (2008-2009) and three relatively abundant water years (2010-2012).<\/p>\n<p>The following measures if adopted will increase success:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Provide coordinated spring river flow pulses with storage reservoir releases and\/or foregone water diversions (if necessary).<\/li>\n<li>Maintain minimum flows in rivers to meet or exceed year-round water temperature standards.<\/li>\n<li>Limit south Delta exports during natural or induced flow pulses, and otherwise follow the export restrictions required in the 2008-2009 Biological Opinion.<\/li>\n<li>Minimize salmon egg, embryo, and fry stranding in spawning gravel beds (redds) that occur when reservoir releases are reduced after spawning has occurred.<\/li>\n<li>Minimize stranding, entrainment, or adverse water temperature changes caused by otherwise legal water diversions.<\/li>\n<li>Limit agricultural or municipal waste water discharges that may increase water temperature in key salmon habitats.<\/li>\n<li>Upgrade gravel supplies in prime spawning habitats before next fall\u2019s spawning season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Future Fisheries<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In addition to closing fisheries and limiting harvest this year, it will likely be necessary to limit harvest in 2024 and 2025.\u00a0 This is because of the over-harvest in 2021 and 2022 of broodyears 2018 and 2019 (Figure 1), which will likely lead to poor returns from broodyears 2021 and 2022 (Figure 2).\u00a0 Broodyear 2021 is of special concern, because, like broodyear 2020 (whose poor prognosis for 2023 escapement led to the fishery closure), broodyear 2021 reared and out-migrated in a critical drought year (2022).<\/p>\n<p>The following measures if adopted will increase success:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Plan for a closure in 2024 to protect an expected poor return from broodyear 2021.<\/li>\n<li>Consider as an option for the 2024 and 2025 seasons a mark-selective fishery if the measures under Hatchery Production outlined above are accomplished and show signs of being effective.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Other recommended actions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fisheries.noaa.gov\/feature-story\/endangered-salmon-regain-access-healthy-west-coast-habitat-through-20-projects-funded\">https:\/\/www.fisheries.noaa.gov\/feature-story\/endangered-salmon-regain-access-healthy-west-coast-habitat-through-20-projects-funded<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wildlife.ca.gov\/News\/cdfw-announces-225-million-to-benefit-salmon-and-support-critical-habitat-projects-statewide#gsc.tab=0\">https:\/\/wildlife.ca.gov\/News\/cdfw-announces-225-million-to-benefit-salmon-and-support-critical-habitat-projects-statewide#gsc.tab=0<\/a><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_4316\" style=\"width: 1651px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4316\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4316\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2.png\" alt=\"Chinook escapement in Sacramento River\" width=\"1641\" height=\"1289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2.png 1641w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2-1024x804.png 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2-768x603.png 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2-1536x1207.png 1536w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image1-2-382x300.png 382w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1641px) 100vw, 1641px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4316\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Table 1. Source: PFMC.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4317\" style=\"width: 1250px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4317\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4317\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Graph of Sacramento Index from 1983 through 2022\" width=\"1240\" height=\"885\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1.jpeg 1240w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1-300x214.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1-1024x731.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1-768x548.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image2-1-420x300.jpeg 420w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1240px) 100vw, 1240px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4317\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1. Sacramento River fall-run Chinook salmon population index comprised of escapement (natural areas and hatchery counts) and river and ocean harvests. (Source: PFMC)<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_4318\" style=\"width: 2295px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-4318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-4318\" src=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1.jpeg\" alt=\"Graph recruits versus spawners\" width=\"2285\" height=\"1984\" srcset=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1.jpeg 2285w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-300x260.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-1024x889.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-768x667.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-1536x1334.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-2048x1778.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/image3-1-346x300.jpeg 346w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2285px) 100vw, 2285px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-4318\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2. Author-developed spawner-recruit relationship using total escapements in Table 1. Number shown is recruit year escapement (left y-axis is log(x) minus 4 of recruits) plotted against spawner escapement (x-axis, recruitment three years prior). Actual number is shown in log scale on right y-axis. Red lines are target PFMC escapement range for fishery. Red and blue circles show recruitment difference between wet and dry years at maximum sustained yield spawner levels. (Spawner levels of 300-500 thousand levels can yield 500,000 recruits from wet years or as few as 100,000 recruits from dry years). Note poor recruitment in 2021 and even less in dry year 2022 due to over-harvest.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The final rules adopted by NOAA Fisheries and California Department of Fish and Wildlife this spring will be much different than last year\u2019s rules.\u00a0 The 2023 commercial and sport fishing closure is designed to ensure that adequate numbers of fall &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/?p=4315\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4315","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chinook","category-hatcheries"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4315","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4315"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4315\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4321,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4315\/revisions\/4321"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4315"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4315"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/calsport.org\/fisheriesblog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4315"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}