Hatchery Reform – Part 2

Previously… Part 1: Central Valley Salmon and Steelhead Hatchery Program Reform

Environmental Factors Affecting Smoltification and Early Marine Survival of Anadromous Salmonids. 1980. GARY A. WEDEMEYER, RICHARD L. SAUNDERS, and W. CRAIG CLARKE1.

“There is reason to suspect that in many cases apparently healthy hatchery fish, though large and silvery, are not actually functional smolts and their limited contribution to the fishery, even when stocked into the same rivers from which their parents were taken, results from their being unprepared to go to sea. This failure to produce good quality smolts probably arises from an incomplete understanding of exactly what constitutes a smolt, as well as from a lack of understanding of the environmental influences that affect the parr-smolt transformation and which may lead, as a long term consequence, to reduced ocean survival.”

This paper is over thirty years old (1980), yet it still rings true. It is most certainly a complicated subject that is an on-going concern in hatchery science and management. There remains room for improvement if funding is available for hatchery program upgrades.

“In the absence of complicating factors such as altered river and estuarine ecology, smolt releases should be timed to coincide as nearly as possible with the historical seaward migration of naturally produced fish in the recipient stream, if genetic strains are similar. At headwater production sites, much earlier release may be called for… The desired result is that hatchery reared smolts which are genetically similar to wild smolts enter the sea at or near the same time.”

It has been apparent for many decades that Central Valley Fall Run and Spring Run Chinook have a classic “ocean-type” life-history pattern, wherein young spawned in the fall head to the ocean early in their first year rather than as yearlings. Even within the ocean-type, Central Valley Fall Run have two types: one has fry rearing in the estuary (Bay-Delta) and the other in rivers. Of these two types, Valley hatcheries have chosen to manage for the latter. Hatcheries pump out smolts by the millions in April and May, on top of a smaller number of “wild” river-smolts. I believe the “river-smolt” type has been the minority contributor at least since all the dams were built. There simply is not enough river habitat, and what there is has been severely degraded by dams, water management, and physical habitat damage (e.g., levees and land use). The majority contributor is the Bay-Delta or “estuary-smolt” type. Fry that move to the estuary in December-January grow quickly and enter the ocean as smolts in March, a month or more before the river-type. This is a huge advantage for the estuary-type. The hatchery programs could focus more effort on this type by out-planting fry to the estuary or lower river floodplains immediately above the estuary (e.g., Yolo Bypass). Experimental out-planting of hatchery fry to rice fields in the Yolo Bypass has proven promising2. There are also many natural habitats in the lower river floodplains and Bay-Delta that could accommodate out-planting.

This post is part of a 4 part series on hatchery reform, check back into the California Fisheries Blog over the next week for Parts 3 and 4.

Drought Effect on the Bay

During the past four years of drought little has been said about the specific effect of the drought on the Bay, especially the upper Bay. Suisun Bay is a very important part of the San Francisco Bay Estuary as it receives freshwater flow from the Delta and is the low salinity mixing zone of the Bay-Delta ecosystem. Suisun Bay is also critical habitat of many listed estuarine and anadromous fishes. The drought has brought something new: unprecedented high salinities to Suisun Bay from relaxed Bay-Delta Plan Delta outflow and salinity standards. In the chart below (Figure 1) salinity levels as measured by micro-mhos of electrical conductivity (EC) were high (>15,000 EC) at Port Chicago in west Suisun Bay in April and May 2014 and 2015. Normal dry year levels are shown by 2012, when the Delta Outflow standard is 7100 cfs and the Collinsville salinity standard is 2780 EC. In 2014 and 2015, the standards were relaxed to save reservoir storage. The Outflow standard was reduced to 4000 cfs. The salinity standard location was moved upstream into the Delta. Although unregulated flow dominated most of the Apr-May period in 2012 (Figure 2), the regular standards applied in the latter half of May.

Figure 1.  Salinity (EC) in Suisun Bay in April-May 2012, 2014, and 2015.

Figure 1. Salinity (EC) in Suisun Bay in April-May 2012, 2014, and 2015.

The potential ramifications of these unprecedented low outflows and high salinities are wide ranging and substantial.

  1. Invasive species will increase their presence in the Bay-Delta. Clams, zooplankton, and fish communities will change. Invasive Potamocorbula clams abundance has likely increased and moved further upstream1. More clams mean less plankton and higher selenium concentrations in clams.

    “The biomass of the larger copepods is less than it was before the introduction of the clam Corbula amurensis, because of competition for food and grazing by clams on the early life stages of copepods. The resulting low abundance of copepods of suitable size, and the long food chain supporting them, may be contributing factors to the decline in abundance of several estuarine fish species.”2

    “Many scientists in the U.S. geological survey, who have been studying the Bay for decades, also concur with Strong, that the clam is likely the culprit”.3

  2. Young Longfin and Delta Smelt have been forced to rear in the Delta rather than the Suisun Bay. Mysid and Bay shrimp production will be lower.
  3. Concentration of contaminants will be higher in Suisun Bay, possibly leading to toxicity to plankton, benthic invertebrates, and fish.
  4. Unbalanced levels of ammonia, nitrogen, and phosphorous nutrients will lead to trophic changes in the plankton community (e.g. more blue green algae and lower diatom production).
  5. Less inflow to Suisun Bay means less organic carbon and other nutrients necessary to stimulate the estuary’s food chain. Turbidity from river sediment will be lower.

Less inflow to the Delta and less outflow to the Bay also mean more nutrients, plankton, and fish are drawn to the South Delta export pumps. Even with restricted pumping at 1500 cfs limit, the effect is proportional and significant. In reality, Delta outflows are lower than the NDOI estimates provided by DWR and Reclamation. A 14-day running average relaxed standard of 4000 cfs often leads to “real” outflows closer to zero4.

More on the effects of outflow on Suisun Bay can be found at:
http://www.sfestuary.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Estuary-MAR2015-v8a-finalWEB.pdf .

Figure 2.  Delta outflow (NDOI) in April-May 2012, 2014, and 2015.

Figure 2. Delta outflow (NDOI) in April-May 2012, 2014, and 2015.

Record Heat in the Delta: A Challenge to Reclamation

Despite a relatively cool May, the Delta is very warm under conditions of low river and Delta flows and low outflow to the Bay that the State Water Board has allowed by weakening flow standards. As in 2014, water temperatures in early June approach the lethal level for Delta Smelt of 73°F1 (Figure 1). The water temperatures now (and in 2014) are several degrees higher than in 2012, the last year in which the normal dry year flow standards were followed.

The first heat wave of summer, with air temperatures forecasted from 95-100°F, is predicted to begin early next week. Water temperatures in the entire Delta are expected to reach the lethal level of 73°F or higher. The water temperature may be further degraded in the north and central Delta by the opening of the Delta Cross Channel in combination with the new False River Barrier (FAL location on map).

Delta Smelt are presently confined primarily to the Sacramento Deep Water Ship Channel, where water temperatures are already near lethal levels (Figures 2 and 3). Reclamation scientists theorize that smelt can survive in deeper, cooler waters. I challenge Reclamation to prove this theory by monitoring water temperature and taking dissolved oxygen profiles throughout the Sacramento Deep Water Ship Channel all summer.

Figure 1.  Water temperature in the Delta in first week of June 2015. Based on water temperatures recorded at CDEC stations (blue dots).

Figure 1. Water temperature in the Delta in first week of June 2015.
Based on water temperatures recorded at CDEC stations (blue dots).

Figure 2.  Water temperature in the Sacramento Deep Water Ship Channel, May 28 - June 6, 2015.

Figure 2. Water temperature in the Sacramento Deep Water Ship Channel,
May 28 – June 6, 2015.

Figure 3.  Distribution of Delta Smelt catch in 20-mm Smelt Survey May 2015. All but three young smelt were captured in the Sacramento Deep Water Ship Channel .  Water temperature at the time of the net deployment in the Channel was 65°F (at surface).

Figure 3. Distribution of Delta Smelt catch in 20-mm Smelt Survey May 2015.
All but three young smelt were captured in the Sacramento Deep Water Ship
Channel . Water temperature at the time of the net deployment in the
Channel was 65°F (at surface).

 

  1. Incipient lethal temperatures for Delta Smelt in laboratory conditions are 75-77°F. In the wild, Delta Smelt are virtually never found in water whose temperature is greater than 73°F.

Bay-Delta Fisheries Devastated by Weakened Protections

Water quality standards under the jurisdiction of the State Water Resources Control Board provide bare minimal protections to the State’s major ecosystems in Critically Dry years. But with the extended drought in seven of the past nine years, protections have been weakened to the point where ecosystems and fisheries dependent on them have been devastated. Yes, rice acreage is down 25%1, but fish production is down 95%, with some species lost forever. Salmon numbers have been maintained by hatcheries and trucking hatchery production to the Bay, but not without a huge mortgage on future wild populations. Hatchery salmon already make up over 90% of ocean and river fisheries. Delta Smelt, Longfin Smelt, Steelhead, Green and White sturgeon, Striped Bass, and wild Chinook Salmon populations have declined another 90% in the past four years, after losing 90% in each in the past several decades. Farm production will return, but some fish will not. The ecosystem will return, but with a much different makeup of new food web plankton species from Asia, greater proportions of non-native sport and pan fish, and a greater assortment of the invasive aquatic plants that already fill waterways. The Delta will be featured more often on the Bass Masters Classic.

And what about the Bay? Only a few hundred thousand acre-feet of water of the millions released from reservoirs this summer will reach the Bay. Water quality and marine fish and shellfish will soon show signs of decline. The Bay-Delta is a major nursery for anchovies, herring, and Dungeness crab. Anchovy stocks are already collapsing2. Sea lions are starving and dying.

How hard would it be to at least maintain the antiquated minimum protections adopted in 1995 Bay-Delta Standards? The Bay is “allocated” a base of about 5 million acre-feet of water each year in the form of a base Delta outflow of 7,100 cfs. This standard for critically dry years is the first to suffer from State Board drought orders. The Board has reduced outflows requirements to 3000-4000 cfs (Figure 1). Such low outflows are in reality closer to zero (see earlier blog3). The amount of water “short” from the critical year base in the important February – June period is approximately 300,000 acre-feet. This amounts to less than 5% of the total 10 million acre-feet of reservoir releases into the Central Valley in 2014 and expected in 2015. The amount is less than 10% of the 5 million acre-feet presently in storage in Central Valley reservoirs. The water could be restored to the Bay by reducing water contractor allocations and/or reservoir storage.

The Delta had one plankton bloom that came and went this spring4. Plankton blooms are needed to drive the Bay-Delta food chain. Without freshwater flow to the Bay there will be no blooms and little food through the summer for Bay-Delta fishes. Water quality will suffer as well. The prognosis for the Bay-Delta and other California ecosystems is grim. California fisheries will suffer for decades to come.

Figure 1. Delta outflow as calculated by the California Department of Water Resources for Feb-May, 2015. Top red line represents 7100 cfs minimum standard. Lower red line represents typical weakened level of protection.

Debate on Salmon Trucking Heating Up

A recent FISHBIO blog post1 reported on the CalNev American Fisheries Society annual meeting, where AFS members considered the subject of “off-site” release of hatchery salmon smolts. The general perception is that releases away from hatcheries and the natal river leads to high stray rates, with some estimates of stray rates as high as 90%. The blog post discusses the problems caused by straying to non-natal rivers. The blog post states a concern that the practice of off-site releases will lead to reduced population fitness and genetic diversity, and that reproductive success will be half of wild-origin fish:

“Such losses in biocomplexity are dangerous because of the many threats salmon face in the highly altered Central Valley, and the potential inability of this species to persist if faced with a major environmental disaster, which the current drought in California may foreshadow. Yet despite recommendations from the California Hatchery Scientific Review Group, who warned about increases in straying rates due to off-site releases as early as 2010, managers from across the state have responded to drought conditions by trucking salmon from hatcheries to release sites in the Delta and Bay.”

While FISHBIO’s concerns about straying and genetics are well-founded, it is a little late for the Central Valley Fall Run Chinook. Studies have shown that populations across the Valley are homogeneous, with little or no genetic diversity, and consist mainly of hatchery fish and some natural offspring of hatchery fish. There really are no viable “wild” Fall Run Chinook populations left in the Central Valley. Even runs on rivers with no hatcheries (e.g. Yuba and Cosumnes rivers) are made up almost entirely of hatchery strays.

In making the decision to truck hatchery smolts to the Bay-Delta, Federal and State fisheries managers have recognized the harsh reality that having some salmon is better than having none. No one wants to go back to the bleak escapement years of 2007 to 2009, when less than 100,000 adult salmon per year returned to the Central Valley (compare with 870,000 in 2000 and 200,000-400,000 fish per year since 2009). Recent improvements were in large part due to the smolt trucking program in which 50-80% of Central Valley hatchery smolts were trucked to the Delta or Bay.

Can we have our cake and eat it too? Are there measures we can undertake to improve diversity and reduce straying? Yes, there are many, but they come with costs and with no guarantees.

The hatcheries can be more selective in the genetic material (parents) they use in producing smolts. Hatchery managers can barge smolts to the Bay to reduce straying (during barging, the smolts are suspended from barges in net pens, and thus imprinted on their natal waters during their trip downstream). Hatcheries can mark all hatchery fish to clearly differentiate between wild fish and hatchery fish (generally, hatcheries currently mark only 25% of hatchery juveniles). The Fish and Game Commission could establish mark-selective sport fisheries that allow sport harvest only of hatchery fish. The fisheries agencies could develop Wild Fall Run sanctuaries on some tributaries.

Ultimately, long-standing aspects of Delta operations must change to allow more juvenile salmon to get out of the system and more adult salmon to find their way back to natal streams. Delta exports during the spring are particularly devastating to juvenile outmigrants from the San Joaquin tributaries, including the Mokelumne, because these juveniles are drawn to the south Delta pumps. Low Delta outflow, particularly during spring, magnifies the effects of exports. Opening the Delta Cross Channel during spring may actually improve survival of San Joaquin and Mokelumne juveniles, but only when combined with high Delta outflow. Closure of the Delta Cross Channel gates during the fall, either by design or through fortuitous operational decisions, has reduced straying of Mokelumne River salmon adults to the American River, allowing multiple small pulse flows from the Mokelumne in the fall to help improve adult returns.