Category Archives: Bay-Delta

Fundamental Needs of Central Valley Fishes – Part 1b: River Flows – Winter Flows

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In the coming months and years, regulatory processes involving water rights, water quality, and endangered species will determine the future of Central Valley fishes.

To protect and enhance these fish populations, these processes will need to address four fundamental needs:

  1. River Flows
  2. River Water Temperatures – holding, spawning incubation, juvenile rearing and migration.
  3. Delta Outflow, Salinity, and Water Temperature
  4. Valley Flood Bypasses

In the previous Part 1a post, I discussed river flows during fall.  In this post, I discuss river flows during winter.

Winter Flows

Winter is the season of high river natural flows.  Even in drought years, Sacramento River flows measurably spike during storms that provide stormwater runoff from numerous undammed tributaries and local sources (Figure 1).  On the mainstem Sacramento River and those of its tributaries that also feature rim dams, most of the stormwater inflow is captured and stored for spring-fall water supply.  On the San Joaquin River, all the major tributaries and mainstem have large storage reservoirs that capture Sierra and upper Valley runoff, so there is limited controlled winter runoff (Figure 2).

Winter flows are needed to attract adult winter-run and spring-run salmon, smelt, steelhead, and sturgeon to upriver spawning grounds.  Winter flows also carry young salmon and steelhead to the Delta, Bay, and ocean by providing velocity, water temperature, and turbidity conditions that speed migration and deter predation by birds and fish.  Winter flows stimulate food production and availability.  Winter flows and associated high water levels provide access to off channel and floodplain rearing areas that provide refuge and food.  Winter flows clean substrate and wash gravels, and thus improve spawning conditions.  High winter flows wash sediment, nutrients, and organic material into the estuary that stimulate Bay-Delta productivity.

On the Sacramento River, winter flows carry juvenile winter-run, spring-run, late-fall-run, and fall-run salmon through up to 200 miles of rivers and the Delta to the Bay and ocean.  Much of the route is leveed and channelized, with little cover/refuge and abundant predators.  Higher flows provide turbidity and lower water temperatures that deter predation.

In the San Joaquin River watershed downstream of the rim dams, flows are minimal in the absence of flood flows and dam spills.  Thus, de facto drought conditions persist downstream of San Joaquin watershed dams in all but the wettest years.  Recruitment into the salmon populations is confined to San Joaquin offspring produced in wet years, augmented by hatcher strays, since there is minimal juvenile survival to the ocean in other years because of low flows.

In the non-flood years where reservoirs capture most reservoir inflow during the winter, supplemental releases from Central Valley reservoirs should be considered to piggy-back on and enhance natural flow pulses to benefit salmon and other native fish.  Such action would most benefit salmon populations below rim dams.  Such releases can be prescribed as a portion of the natural or unimpaired inflow to the reservoirs.

Figure 1. Daily average Delta inflow from the Sacramento River 2012-2016 as measured at Freeport. Red circles denote winter-spring flow pulses that support important ecological processes such as salmon migration. Water years 2012-2015 were drought years; 2016 was a below-normal water year.

Figure 1. Daily average Delta inflow from the Sacramento River 2012-2016 as measured at Freeport. Red circles denote winter-spring flow pulses that support important ecological processes such as salmon migration. Water years 2012-2015 were drought years; 2016 was a below-normal water year.

Figure 2. Delta inflow from the San Joaquin River 2012-2016 as measured at Vernalis. Prescribed fall and spring flow releases from reservoirs for salmon migrations dominate the hydrograph in these drought years. Winter flow pulses were lacking with the exception of 2016. Water years 2012-2016 were drought years in the San Joaquin watershed.

Figure 2. Delta inflow from the San Joaquin River 2012-2016 as measured at Vernalis. Prescribed fall and spring flow releases from reservoirs for salmon migrations dominate the hydrograph in these drought years. Winter flow pulses were lacking with the exception of 2016. Water years 2012-2016 were drought years in the San Joaquin watershed.

Fundamental Needs of Central Valley Fishes – Part 1a: River Flows – First Pulse of Fall Rains

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In the coming months and years, regulatory processes involving water rights, water quality, and endangered species will determine the future of Central Valley fishes.

To protect and enhance these fish populations, these processes will need to address four fundamental needs:

  1. River Flows
  2. River Water Temperatures
  3. Delta Outflow, Salinity, and Water Temperature
  4. Valley Flood Bypasses

In this post, I summarize a portion of the issues relating to River Flows: Fall Rains. Part 1b will cover winter river flows.

River Flows – Fall Rains

In most years, the first substantial fall rainfall stimulates many important ecological processes such as salmon and smelt spawning runs and salmon and steelhead smolt migrations to the ocean.  Figure 1 below shows the effects of 2016’s late October rains,  and Figure 2 below shows the effects of 2015’s December rains, in the lower Sacramento River flows at Wilkins Slough near Yuba City below Colusa.  Most of these flow pulses came from storm runoff from un-dammed upper Sacramento Valley tributaries such as Cow, Cottonwood, and Battle Creeks.  Such flow pulses stimulate the migrations of young salmon toward the ocean.  Figure 3 below documents these migrations in the form of  rotary screw trap collections at Knights Landing in the lower Sacramento River.

Under current operations, flows from the major reservoirs are generally held to the minimum requirement in the fall season in order to increase reservoir storage (Figure 4).1  What is needed are flow pulses (spills) from the major Valley reservoirs to the major rivers below dams, to stimulate the migration of the juvenile salmon spawned immediately downstream of these dams.  Just downstream of Whiskeytown Reservoir on Clear Creek, Shasta and Keswick reservoirs on the upper Sacramento River, Oroville Reservoir on the Feather River, and Folsom and Nimbus reservoirs on the American River are vitally important salmon-producing reaches whose flow is completely controlled by the operation of the dams.  Water releases timed to the natural flow pulses would stimulate migration from these important salmon-producing reaches, providing even more flow and stimulus for young salmon from all the Valley rivers to pass successfully through the Delta and Bay to the ocean.

Meanwhile, downstream in the Delta, the CVP and SWP export facilities generally ramp up exports during the initial storm pulse (Figure 5 below shows an example from 2016).  Because of the importance of the initial storm pulse, the CVP and SWP should limit exports during the initial pulse, not only to help salmon get through the Delta and Bay, but also to minimize the diversion of young salmon to the south Delta.

Figure 1. Lower Sacramento River flow at Wilkins Slough in fall 2016.

Figure 1. Lower Sacramento River flow at Wilkins Slough in fall 2016.

Figure 2. Lower Sacramento River flow at Wilkins Slough in late fall 2015.

Figure 2. Lower Sacramento River flow at Wilkins Slough in late fall 2015.

Figure 3. Catch of juvenile salmon in Knights Landing rotary screw traps 2001-2004 vs. flow in lower Sacramento River at Wilkins Slough.

Figure 3. Catch of juvenile salmon in Knights Landing rotary screw traps 2001-2004 vs. flow in lower Sacramento River at Wilkins Slough.

Figure 4. Release of water from Shasta/Keswick to upper Sacramento River near Redding, fall 2016.

Figure 4. Release of water from Shasta/Keswick to upper Sacramento River near Redding, fall 2016.

Figure 5. Export of water from south Delta by State Water Project, fall 2016.

Figure 5. Export of water from south Delta by State Water Project, fall 2016.

  1. For additional discussion of the negative effects of this practice, see previous post. ↩

Does the Central Valley Need a Predator Removal Program?

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The Columbia River Pikeminnow Sport Reward Program just finished another year.  A near-record 200,000 adult pikeminnow were harvested and $1.7 million rewards paid.  The goal of the program is to harvest 10-20% of the population each year to reduce the population about 50%.  Harvest rates in recent years reached as high as 17% as compared to this year’s 11%.

So why after 25 years is the program still harvesting near-record numbers of pikeminnow?  The likely reason is that the program is not based on sound science.  The Columbia pikeminnow population dynamics likely are best described with a standard Ricker-Type Population Model (see chart below), with reduced recruitment of young at high adult population levels because of competition and cannibalism.  The introduction of a light harvest can actual increase recruitment of young by reducing competition and cannibalism, with the increased recruitment replacing the harvest, even providing a constant harvest or yield.  This is how fishery quotas may be sustained year after year, such as in Alaska’s Bristol Bay Sockeye salmon fishery.

This same dynamic likely applies to pikeminnow and some other predators in the Central Valley.  Pikeminnow are likely near their saturation level in the Central Valley.  Any light harvest such as from a sport-reward or removal program would likely have little or no effect.  Increasing harvest on non-native predators like largemouth bass by reducing sport-fishing harvest regulations would likely also have a limited benefit.  However, striped bass, the most popular sport fish in the Delta, has a population that is already seriously depressed by long-term loss of juveniles to water diversions.  Striped bass may respond more directly to increased harvest, further reducing recruitment and further depressing the population.

Thus the species composition of fish that eat other fish could change, satisfying those who vilify stripers and infuriating those who fish for them.  But the potential for reduced overall loss of juvenile salmon or other native species that might follow from “predator removal” is far more complex and questionable than its proponents maintain.

Ricker-type stock-recruitment population dynamics model that likely applies to Columbia River and Sacramento River pikeminnow populations

Ricker-type stock-recruitment population dynamics model that likely applies to Columbia River and Sacramento River pikeminnow populations

Delta Smelt Summer 2016 Update

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Past summer surveys in the Cache Slough, Liberty Island, and Deepwater Ship Channel areas of the northern Delta frequently collected Delta smelt. Some documents even referred to this area as the last refuge of Delta smelt.

“The southern end of the Yolo Bypass, including Liberty Island (Table 9-2), Cache Slough, and the DWSC are known to support Delta Smelt spawning and rearing (Bennett 2005) (Grimaldo et al. 2004). The USFWS found Delta Smelt in shallow water habitats within Liberty Island using a variety of fish sampling techniques (Figure 9-1). Delta Smelt catch and gonadal staging from fish collected from the Spring Kodiak Trawl (SKT) surveys also indicate that the DWSC is an important spawning location in the Delta (Figure 9-2). Additionally, a non-migratory contingent has been recently observed to remain in freshwater and carry out their entire lifecycle in the tidal freshwater region of the CSC, which offers cool, turbid habitat and abundant prey (Sommer et al. 2011). DWR 2015 1

Surveys picked up some Delta smelt in the northern Delta even in the 2012-2015 drought years. In fact, most of the few smelt detected in those years came from this area.

However, the 2016 Summer Townet surveys caught no smelt in the northern Delta’s Cache Slough area at all. The extreme water temperature conditions present in 2012-2015 (August water temperatures in the 23-26°C range, near lethal to smelt) occurred again this summer (see chart below).

One Delta smelt was caught this summer downstream of the Delta, in Grizzly Bay at the mouth of Montezuma Slough.  There is at least one Delta smelt left.  Hopefully, the Fall Trawl Survey will collect a few more.

Water temperature (°C) in lower Yolo Bypass Tule Canal (green) and adjacent Deepwater Ship Channel (blue) in July 2016. (USGS data)

Water temperature (°C) in lower Yolo Bypass Tule Canal (green) and adjacent Deepwater Ship Channel (blue) in July 2016. (USGS data)

  1.  Draft FRP Cache Slough Complex Conservation Assessment, p. 9-2, http://www.water.ca.gov/environmentalservices/cache_slough_assessment.cfm  ↩

Summer 2016 Delta Salinity and Outflow Standards

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The present water quality standards for the Delta were established by the State Water Resources Control Board in 1995. The standards govern how the Delta water projects operate and indirectly control much of the Central Valley’s water management. The standards also have a substantial influence on the ecosystem health of river, the Delta, and the Bay . These standards have been under review for a decade and are badly in need of update and revision. These standards have been responsible for the decline of Central Valley native fishes, including the listing of six under state and federal endangered species acts.

In this post, I discuss the Delta standards relative to performance in summer 2016, the first near normal water year (at least for the Sacramento River watershed) after four years of drought.

The summer Delta standards govern Delta salinity, Delta outflow, Sacramento River flow at Rio Vista, and south Delta export limits. Of the four, salinity and outflow governed the Delta in summer 2016, with river flow and exports (percent of inflow) well within prescribed limits.

The salinity and outflow standards are monthly average limits (objectives). Monthly average standards of salinity are prescribed as electrical conductivity at Emmaton and Jersey Point in the west Delta (Figure 1), as well as other locations in the interior and south Delta.

The problem is that these standards are specifically designed to protect Delta agriculture and export water quality, not Delta ecology or its native fishes. That specific deficiency is what caused federal biological opinions to add restrictions to limit south Delta exports; however, none of these applied in summer 2016. Although the agricultural standards do provide some ecological protection, the specific hydrology shown in Figure 1 results in brackish water being drawn into the central and south Delta, which degrades the low salinity zone that is so critical to the Bay-Delta native fishes.

Figure 1. Western Delta salinity and flow monitoring stations. Blue arrow denotes primary source of fresh water input to Delta from the Sacramento River. Red arrows indicate net negative flows from west Delta toward south Delta export pumps in summer 2016. Under these conditions Jersey Point salinity tends to be controlling.

Figure 1. Western Delta salinity and flow monitoring stations. Blue arrow denotes primary source of fresh water input to Delta from the Sacramento River. Red arrows indicate net negative flows from west Delta toward south Delta export pumps in summer 2016. Under these conditions Jersey Point salinity tends to be controlling.

Delta Inflow

Approximately 4 million acre-feet (maf) of water entered the Delta from the Sacramento River in summer 2016, primarily from reservoir releases to satisfy agricultural demands and meet salinity/outflow standards. The 4 maf of Sacramento River inflow to the Delta represented approximately 90% of total Delta inflow. The remainder came from limited San Joaquin flow. and other sources.

Figure 2. Delta inflow from the Sacramento River in summer 2016.

Figure 2. Delta inflow from the Sacramento River in summer 2016.

Delta Outflow and Diversions

Of the approximately 4.4 maf of total Delta inflow in summer 2016 (Figure 3), only 1.8 maf (40%) reached the Bay. Total exports and diversions from the Delta were 2.6 maf (60% of total inflow). Delta outflow standards controlled until mid-July when salinity standards took control. The additional outflow for salinity control above that necessary to meet outflow standards was provided primarily by reducing south Delta exports by approximately 300,000 acre-ft because of limited available upstream reservoir storage.

Figure 3. Delta outflow in summer 2016. Red lines denote Delta outflow standards for a Below Normal water year. Higher outflows than prescribed after mid-July were required to meet salinity standards.

Figure 3. Delta outflow in summer 2016. Red lines denote Delta outflow standards for a Below Normal water year. Higher outflows than prescribed after mid-July were required to meet salinity standards.

Salinity

Salinity standards took control in July (Figure 4) as Delta outflow failed to keep brackish water from the Bay from encroaching up the San Joaquin channel to Jersey Point. After mid-August salinity standards for the south Delta (700-1000 EC limits) became controlling (Figure 5).

The Problem and Solution

Too much salt is allowed into the interior Delta in summer, resulting in the degradation of water quality of diversions/exports and of the low salinity zone habitat of native estuarine fishes, including Delta smelt.

The solution is to extend the early summer 450 EC standard at Jersey Point (Figure 4) through the summer in abundant water years where high exports are planned from the south Delta. In low water supply years when exports are curtailed due to limited reservoir storage, a less stringent standard can be applied. In addition, in drier years, barriers can be placed on False River and Dutch Slough to limit movement of brackish water (and low-salinity-zone fish and their food supply) into the interior Delta.

Figure 4. Salinity (EC) at Jersey Point in the San Joaquin channel of the west Delta in summer 2016. Red lines denote salinity standards applicable at Jersey Point in summer 2016.

Figure 4. Salinity (EC) at Jersey Point in the San Joaquin channel of the west Delta in summer 2016. Red lines denote salinity standards applicable at Jersey Point in summer 2016.

Figure 5. Salinity (EC) in Old River in south Delta in summer 2016. Red lines denote 30-day running average salinity standards applicable to south Delta.

Figure 5. Salinity (EC) in Old River in south Delta in summer 2016. Red lines denote 30-day running average salinity standards applicable to south Delta.